Please rotate your screen

FAQ’s

FAQ’s
Filter by:

ALL

Which Consumer Goods categories do you cover?

We can potentially work in any category, so if your category isn’t listed here, fear not. Get in touch and we’ll see how we can help. Our expertise: Packaged Food; Non-Alcoholic Beverages; Alcoholic Beverages; Skincare; Cosmetics and Household.

What data sources do you use?

A variety of publicly available Social data sources including: Blogs (e.g. HuffPost), Message Boards (e.g. Reddit), News Sources (e.g. The Wall Street Journal), Reviews, (e.g. Amazon reviews) and Social Networks (e.g. public tweets from Twitter). We can also utilise our specific regional social data partnerships such as Sina Weibo in China and VK in Russia.

How are you different from social listening?

Social listening monitors what is currently happening in digital conversations about pre-determined subjects. We go beyond simply monitoring what you already know. We build consumer defined category datasets that allow us to surface and identify emerging and unknown trends that you otherwise wouldn’t know about. Our TPV algorithm scientifically ranks each trend by its future importance to the category, enabling you to identify white space opportunities 6+ months earlier than any social listening tool is capable of.

What do you mean by irrelevant content?

Our goal is to set a new industry standard for Social data in terms of how clean, useful and reliable it is. To achieve this we spend a huge amount of our time and resource removing irrelevant noise and content from Social data. For example, if a beverage brand wants to understand how the Lemonade conversation will evolve, all irrelevant content - like Beyonce’s album of the same name - needs to be first removed. Otherwise, the data will be skewed and our subsequent predictions will be less accurate.

How does GDPR impact the work you're doing?

In short, it doesn’t. GDPR is a set of rules governing the privacy and security of personal data. Our work analyses macro level trends from publicly available, anonymised data – what people are doing at an individual level is of no value or interest to Black Swan Data.

What sectors do you operate in?

We focus on the Consumer Goods, Quick Service Restaurant and Travel sectors but our tools and processes have the potential to be applied to any sector. Put simply, if consumers are talking about a topic online, then we can analyse that conversation for business intelligence.

What predictions have you made in the past that have come to fruition?

Our predictions come to fruition most months, as new products come to the market. The top three which our clients have successfully actioned are a Matcha variant of green tea for Lipton, a seaweed flavour of healthy crisp alternatives for PepsiCo brand Off the Eaten Path, and a Wasabi flavour for Walker’s Sensations.

How can I access Trendscope?

Trendscope can be accessed via a monthly subscription which includes training and onboarding alongside access to our Insight Consultants to ensure you are maximising value from the tool. Typically, a new account can be up and running within a matter of days. Please contact us to start the conversation.

What is AI?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a broad term for techniques that enable machines or programmes to perform what are deemed as ‘intelligent tasks’ otherwise performed by a human with much greater capacity and speed. We use forms of AI, namely NLP and Machine Learning, to turn unstructured Social data into meaningful business intelligence.

What is Machine Learning?

A subset of AI that includes statistical techniques that enable machines to improve at tasks with experience. We use Machine Learning to solve complex problems where defining the rules of what the solution has to DO is impossible. Instead of programming rules we teach the machine via examples, so we define what we EXPECT from it and the machine learns the rules. For instance, giving precise and robust rules why a Social media post is positive/negative/neutral is impossible. Instead, we manually label several thousand posts then make the machine learn the rules based on this training dataset.

What is TPV?

TPV is a scientific ranking metric that helps brands identify which trends to prioritise for action. It assigns a comparative value to each of the thousands of trends within a category, enabling trends to be ranked objectively based on their predicted importance in +6 months’ time.

What is NLP?

Natural Language Processing (NLP) put most simply is the field of using computers to understand and analyse human language (inclusive of sarcasm, colloquialisms, emojis etc.) to gain an accurate depiction of its content and sentiment. It means we can read and make sense of millions of pieces of consumer generated digital content within a matter of seconds.

Does your approach replace traditional research methods?

Our methodologies surface insight from ‘actual’, unprompted consumer behaviour via Social data. Our proprietary AI and algorithms use this data to identify and rank each and every trend in your category based on its future predicted value. This is how we scientifically distinguish between a fad and a trend, making it easier to determine when and how to act. Traditional research has both its advantages and disadvantages, but by asking consumers direct questions which are pre-emptive by design, you leave yourself open to blindspots.

What is Social Prediction?

Social Prediction uses AI and data science to go beyond monitoring what’s currently being talked about by consumers to accurately predict what will be most important to them in the future. We achieve this by building consumer defined category datasets from the ‘bottom-up’ and apply predictive models which can identify new and emerging trends 6+ months earlier than any other trend methodology.

Who are Black Swan Data’s competitors?

We see ourselves at the forefront of a new research-technology market that uses Big Data and applied data science to unlock rich consumer insight and accurate trend predictions from digitally generated consumer content. Given we are one of the only providers of this type of capability, we compete against many different types of companies - all of which don't do exactly what we do or as fast as we can do it, but offer services that solve a similar use case for our clients.

How can I commission a Horizon report?

Horizon gives you the most comprehensive and accurate view of your category now and in the future. It is a modular based reporting system which ensures we cover the business questions that are most pertinent to your brand, including: Category Strategy, Innovation, Communication and M&A. Because we use our continuous, automated datasets, Horizon reports can be compiled within a matter of days - what would take traditional research techniques months. Please contact us to arrange a call with one of our Insight Consultants to find out more.

Which new product innovations have you helped launch?

We work across a range of sectors and markets, helping clients understand which trends to activate and when. Our trend intelligence enabled Unilever brand Lipton to launch a Matcha Ice Tea months ahead of the market. Our consumer insights have helped PepsiCo launch successful new brands such as Bubly, Life Water and Off the Eaten Path.
NEXT TOPIC
#69
#822
#325
#3147

Your question not here?

Get in touch


Thanks

We’ll be in touch soon. Until then, here’s some reading to whet your appetite.

The biggest and boldest are sometimes overshadowed by the everyday delicate changes which make our busy lives that little bit easier. Black Swan made an early January pilgrimage to Las Vegas for the annual CES conference where 750,000 people packed casinos and conference centres hoping to glimpse the latest breakthroughs in everything from AI, VR and gaming to mobility and quantum computing. There’s even the odd potato thrown in for good measure (more on that later). CES is vast, with 4,500 exhibitors, from giants like Google and IBM to smaller companies looking to make a big impact. The Black Swan team spent 4 days and 60,000 steps with our partners at Twitter following our mission to help companies fuel their innovation pipelines and marketing strategy with AI-driven trend prediction. Our focus was meeting the companies who might not immediately spring to mind when you envisage high tech innovation. But increasingly the leaders in consumer goods – companies like P&G, L’Oreal and Reckitt Benckiser are flocking to CES to demonstrate cutting-edge developments in everyday products. It’s not all about the robots…but let’s think about them first. For the audience of geeky technology devotees, the biggest draw are the boldest pieces of technology. Forpheus the AI driven table tennis coach which uses emotional intelligence to adapt its playing style when you get tired or frustrated, sat alongside virtual reality receptionists who can interact with customers and answer common questions, learning from their answers. Turn a corner and you enter another world again. Agri-tech behemoths like John Deere are combining drones with AI to create ‘precision agriculture’ which sustainably delivers crop fertilisation. There aren’t many places in the world where you see elderly Texan farmers mingling with smartphone wielding tech vloggers. We lingered briefly with the robots and racing cars before heading off to see the innovation which really matters to us, our clients and most importantly the consumers who are busy embracing the tortuous combination of ‘dry Jan’ and Veganuary. From beauty tech to sustainable snacking the trends being touted by some of our supermarket and pharmacy favourites focused on simplifying our busy lives; offering us healthier and more sustainable choices. P&G focused on their commitment to ‘Lean Innovation’ – singing about how they enlist experts from Silicon Valley to start smaller innovation teams who have produced 180 new concepts so far. They used CES as a platform to launch the Oral-B iO which uses AI to track user’s brushing techniques and help them optimise for better oral health. L’Oreal stretched the boundaries further with the announcement of Perso […]

FIND OUT MORE

Non-alcoholic beer is big news. But what’s driving this category? We look at this growing macro theme and why it’s becoming an important segment of the Beer space.

FIND OUT MORE

There’s a growing appetite within the beer and cider space for products and ingredients that are locally sourced. We turn the spotlight on this trend and why it’s important for today’s breweries.

FIND OUT MORE